March Madness pundits pick Saint Mary’s as upset victims, but Gaels have hidden gem on their side

MORAGA — It’s the unheralded staff from Moraga, the cute little brother to Gonzaga, the not-quite-good-enough bunch of amicable underdogs which may win one sport within the Large Dance, however even one could possibly be a stretch.

Regardless of No. 5 Saint Mary’s being four-point betting favorites over No. 12 Virginia Commonwealth College within the first spherical of the NCAA Match on Friday in Albany, N.Y., to choose a Gaels win is uncool. It’s retro. It’s perhaps even a bit of loopy.

Inside seconds of the Gaels being introduced because the No. 5 seed within the East bracket, VCU was already being picked as an upset particular.

“VCU goes to win,” CBS analyst Seth Davis shortly introduced on the nationwide broadcast.

In a chunk he wrote for The Athletic the subsequent day, Davis mentioned the Gaels “have a slightly low ceiling for a No 5 seed. Given the frequency of 12-over-5 upsets, this one was straightforward for me.”

Whereas the analytics are favoring Saint Mary’s — FiveThirtyEight.com provides the Gaels a 59% likelihood to win — widespread ESPN analyst Jay Bilas wrote a book-length characteristic of his bracket picks and, you guessed it, he’s going with VCU.

“The Rams are usually not as bodily as Saint Mary’s, however with stress, VCU may be the extra disruptive staff,” Bilas wrote.

If the nation’s prime consultants can so shortly low cost the power of excellent freshman Aidan Mahaney and tremendous senior Logan Johnson, what are they lacking?

Ask people across the staff and one other identify emerges, one which’s hardly been written about or talked about on the broadcasts: Kyle Bowen.

The 6-foot-8, 222-pound Australian with a mustache and a mullet is averaging simply 5.3 factors per sport, however he’s environment friendly, capturing 43% from the ground and 40% from 3-point vary, and he dominates the boards with 7.2 rebounds per sport.

“He’s the glue,” Johnson mentioned. “He’s the one which holds us collectively. He doesn’t get the credit score he deserves. Our greatest defender on the staff. It simply so occurred that I obtained the consideration (West Coast Convention Defensive Participant of the Yr), however he’s our greatest defender.”

The Gaels are hoping Bowen, Johnson and senior Alex Ducas can settle the nerves of a Gaels staff making an attempt to make a shock run.

“There are two qualities that I've no query are pretty much as good as we’ve ever had,” mentioned head coach Randy Bennett. “And that’s the senior management. In their very own method, they’ve been pretty much as good as we’ve had it… They usually’re powerful. This group is hard.”

St. Mary's Logan Johnson (0) reacts after getting the basket and the foul while playing Santa Clara during the second half of their game at Saint Mary's College in Moraga, Calif., on Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023. St. Mary's defeated Santa Clara 77-58. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Area News Group)
St. Mary’s Logan Johnson (0) reacts after getting the basket and the foul whereas taking part in Santa Clara in the course of the second half of their sport at Saint Mary’s School in Moraga, Calif., on Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023. St. Mary’s defeated Santa Clara 77-58. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Space Information Group) 

Bennett, in his twenty second season on the bench in Moraga, has clearly discovered one thing.

He’s coached back-to-back No. 5 seeds, the highest-seeded groups at school historical past. And after a second-round elimination by the hands of UCLA final 12 months, Bennett introduced again a staff that includes a finalist for the Kyle Macy Division I Freshman of the Yr, Mahaney, and a finalist for the Lou Henson Award, offered yearly to the highest mid-major participant in D-I faculty basketball, Johnson.

It’s Bowen they’ve turned to for consolation because the Gaels ready for an early morning constitution flight to New York on Wednesday morning, making an attempt to neglect in regards to the final two weeks.

A staff that averages 36 rebounds per sport grabbed simply 25 in every of their latest losses to Gonzaga, together with an embarrassing 77-51 defeat within the WCC title sport.

Even in a 76-69 win over Brigham Younger within the semifinals, the Gaels seemed misplaced within the second half.

Of their final 60 minutes of basketball mixed, they’ve been outscored 126-90.

They’ve posted below-average numbers in steals, blocks and assists whereas turning the ball over in a sloppy three-game stretch that’s been fairly completely different than what they did within the earlier 30.

However as they gathered on the ground of their dwelling courtroom when the NCAA bracket was introduced Sunday, they pointed to Bowen because the man who’d preserve them collectively.

MORAGA, CA - DEC. 29: St. Mary's Kyle Bowen (14) loses the ball after crashing with San Diego's Marcellus Earlington (10) in the first half of their game at Saint Mary's College in Moraga, Calif., on Thursday, Dec. 29, 2022. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Area News Group)
MORAGA, CA – DEC. 29: St. Mary’s Kyle Bowen (14) loses the ball after crashing with San Diego’s Marcellus Earlington (10) within the first half of their sport at Saint Mary’s School in Moraga, Calif., on Thursday, Dec. 29, 2022. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Space Information Group) 

“He leads the leaders,” Johnson mentioned. “He’s emotional, he wears his coronary heart on his sleeve. It doesn’t matter what number of factors he scores. Loads of the issues he does don’t present up within the stat sheet however we all know what he means to us and what he’s able to doing. I’m trying ahead to him having an enormous, huge March Insanity run.”

Bowen left his hometown of Perth, Australia, at 16 to stay on the alternative aspect of the nation and play basketball on the Centre of Excellence, the place he suited up alongside lots of Australia’s most interesting younger gamers, together with Ducas.

“That sped up my maturity,” he mentioned.

He made the choice to hitch Saint Mary’s and observe the trail from Australia to Moraga cleared by former greats like Patty Mills and Matthew Dellavedova.

“Coming to school in America was an enormous determination for me and my household, however I didn’t wish to view that as, ‘I’m abroad and I’m homesick,’” Bowen mentioned. “That was by no means an issue for me, homesickness…

“These folks love me and I like them. Embracing that positivity was an enormous factor.”

As a freshman, Bowen performed simply 11 minutes a sport, however discovered his identification in observe, the place he discovered play protection towards excellent scorer, Malik Fitts, who has since made 18 NBA appearances for the Clippers, Jazz and Celtics.

“I didn’t actually play a lot my freshman 12 months, so I wanted to discover a method, how can I do one thing optimistic for this staff? How can I make an affect?” he mentioned. “Yelling and screaming and getting excited when guys make the correct play, it was one thing I put an emphasis on my freshman 12 months. Making these small and gritty performs, that’s the place I might shine. If I needed to take a cost on Malik Fitts in observe, that’s what I obtained to do.

“Everyone picks their half and that was my half.”

Bowen began his first sport as a sophomore and has since began each sport for the final 2 1/2 years.

Watch the highlights and also you’ll hardly ever discover him. Research the tape a bit extra and also you’ll see No. 14 within the face of the opposing staff’s greatest participant, taking the cost, grabbing the rebound or falling on a free ball.

“Kyle is the guts, thoughts and soul of our staff,” mentioned Ducas. “You see how a lot emotion he performs with each night time. He’s the loudest man on the courtroom…

“I can’t actually put into phrases how essential he's for us.”

A month in the past, Saint Mary’s was trying prefer it could possibly be a match darling.

Now anticipated by many to be upset within the opening spherical, the Gaels are trying inward for inspiration.

If Bennett is true and their senior management and toughness will resolve their destiny, Bowen, Johnson and Ducas are their greatest hope to spark some magic on their strategy to Albany.

“The great thing about it's that we’re not simply three guys in our senior 12 months of faculty,” Bowen mentioned. “We’re three guys who work off one another completely, stay with one another and spend each second of the day collectively.

“The chemistry is particular.”

St. Mary's head coach Randy Bennett hi-fives his team after watching the 2023 NCAA Men's Basketball Championship Selection Show at Saint Mary's College in Moraga, Calif., on Sunday, March 12, 2023. St. Mary's is seeded 5th in the West Region of the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament and will be playing VCU in the first round in Albany, New York. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Area News Group)
St. Mary’s head coach Randy Bennett hi-fives his staff after watching the 2023 NCAA Males’s Basketball Championship Choice Present at Saint Mary’s School in Moraga, Calif., on Sunday, March 12, 2023. St. Mary’s is seeded fifth within the West Area of the NCAA Males’s Basketball Match and will probably be taking part in VCU within the first spherical in Albany, New York. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Space Information Group) 

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