<u>THE 10 BEST GAMES TO BET</u>
GIANTS at JAGUARS
1 p.m., Jaguars by 3, 42 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: It’s an inviting line when you’re a giant fan of the spectacular 5-1 Giants however the bubble may burst right here. The Jaguars’ protection is constructed to cease them. Its weak spot is in opposition to the cross and the Giants have simply been getting by there. However that protection is ranked third in opposition to the run with a defensive entrance that may stand as much as the Giants’ rising offensive line. The Jaguars are 2-16 ATS of their final 18 video games in opposition to NFC groups. Their final win? Over the Giants. Brian Daboll’s crew is sweet, simply not 6-1 good, and the percentages would possibly catch as much as them this week.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Jaguars and the underneath.
JETS at BRONCOS
4:05 p.m., Broncos by 2 ½, 40
HANK’S HONEYS: In a battle of Wilsons at QB, we’re taking Zach. Russell Wilson is day-to-day with a hamstring damage. His lack of ability to create on the run as he as soon as did in Seattle has been apparent and this gained’t assist him escape Quinnen Williams. We love the Jets’ power as far as against the malaise that's Denver’s. The Broncos could have a formidable protection however we just like the younger Jets’ stars to get sufficient issues executed. You don’t want many factors to beat the Broncos. And that’s additionally purpose to maintain going underneath the whole till they show in any other case. Additionally observe: the Jets are 3-0 ATS as an away crew this season, totaling a league-high 12.8 over the quantity.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Jets and the underneath.
SEAHAWKS at CHARGERS
4:25 p.m., Chargers by 6 ½, 51 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Seahawks can grasp round on this one as a result of they will run the ball and whereas the Chargers’ run protection has improved over final season, it has been giving up chunk performs to the tune of 5.6 yards per carry. Seattle has been a bit of hit and miss on offense and this appears like successful week in opposition to a protection that enables 25.3 ppg. Justin Herbert hasn’t achieved any rhythm along with his offense with Keenan Allen out of the lineup, and though Allen may return this week, his timing needs to be off after 5 straight weeks on the sidelines. The Bolts are 1-2 ATS at house and are minus 11.3 factors to the quantity, the worst mark within the league.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Seahawks and the underneath.
LIONS at COWBOYS
1 p.m., Cowboys by 7, 48
HANK’S HONEYS: Dak is again and he couldn’t title a greater opponent for the event. Let’s put it this manner. The Lions have a protection in title solely. They'll’t cease the run. They'll’t cease the cross. They’re permitting 428.6 yards per recreation, for goodness sake. The Lions have been rolling on offense till Invoice Belichick’s boys figured them out two weeks in the past. They’re coming off a bye however that’s not practically sufficient time to repair their mess. That is nonetheless an excellent Dallas D despite what occurred in Philly final week and they need to be throughout Jared Goff right here.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Cowboys and the over.
COLTS at TITANS
1 p.m., Titans by 2 ½, 43 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Colts — and particularly Matt Ryan — are enjoying a lot better than they have been after they suffered a landing defeat to the Titans and at the moment are on a 3-1 ATS run with the lone defeat coming in that recreation. Ryan threw for 356 yards that day however was undone by turnovers. The rematch comes in opposition to the Thirty second-ranked Titans cross protection, which has allowed 4 straight opposing QBs to surpass 300 yards. Jonathan Taylor is anticipated to return to lend steadiness. Plus, Indy can’t afford to lose this one or it'll fall 1 ½ video games again within the division. We search for issues to even out.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Colts and the over.
BUCS at PANTHERS
1 p.m., Bucs by 10 ½, 40 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: One thing’s not proper with the Bucs and it’s fairly doable that this entire Tom Brady melodrama has been a drain on the crew. Even with Brady and his offense in synch, the Bucs weren’t protecting large spreads, particularly on the street. Going again to the beginning of their Tremendous Bowl yr, the Bucs are simply 11-12 total ATS away from Tampa. Sure, the Panthers stink and so they couldn’t transfer the ball by any means in opposition to the Rams final week. However their protection isn’t half-bad. Grumpy Tom’s offense has barely averaged 20 ppg and that shouldn’t be sufficient to cowl right here. That additionally makes the underneath guess a wise hedge.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Panthers and the underneath.
CHIEFS at 49ERS
4:25 p.m., Chiefs by 3, 48 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The 49ers are lacking the core of their protection with damage, which isn’t good for a crew that's carried by its protection. They couldn’t deal with Marcus Mariota’s operating final week and now face among the best operating QBs in historical past, Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes nonetheless hasn’t gotten right into a rhythm along with his new broad receivers however that might occur this week. Jimmy G hasn’t been the reply for a low-scoring 49ers offense that is perhaps pressured right into a shootout. The 49ers are a operating crew first and the Chiefs are ranked fourth in opposition to the run.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Chiefs and the over.
STEELERS at DOLPHINS
8:20 p.m., Dolphins by 7, 44 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Tua Tagovailoa’s prime-time return after a three-game dropping streak ought to have the Dolphins re-energized and motivated. The distinction earlier than and after has been eye-opening. Someway the Steelers’ injured protection performed manner over its head in opposition to the Brady Bunch however even with Minkah Fitzpatrick set to return, the secondary remains to be banged up and can have issues with Miami’s pace. Mike Tomlin goes again to Kenny Pickett, so long as he passes concussion protocol, even after Mitch Trubisky performed his greatest soccer off the bench final week. It’s nonetheless a troublesome spot for both QB, nonetheless.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Dolphins and the underneath.
BROWNS at RAVENS
1 p.m., Ravens by 6 ½, 45 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Browns are within the doldrums that even enjoying in opposition to a divisional rival may not remedy. Their protection has been getting ravaged and it’s turn out to be loads simpler to restrict their bruising run recreation because the Pats did final week. RG Wyatt Teller’s continued absence gained’t assist. All the pieces else is sluggish and plodding. Whereas the Ravens’ protection has been substandard for the franchise, take away the fourth quarter and the Ravens can be among the many prime groups within the league. That development’s not going to proceed for lengthy. We predict the league’s fifth-highest-scoring crew figures it out.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Ravens and the over.
BEARS at PATRIOTS
Monday, 8:15 p.m., Pats by 7 ½, 39 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: The Patriots have discovered their identification for the season and it’s working. Contemplate that Bailey Zappe leads the NFL with a 111.4 passer ranking due to the Pats’ complimentary operating recreation. Much like final week in opposition to the Browns, Invoice Belichick will take away the Bears’ sturdy swimsuit, their operating recreation, and put every thing on Justin Fields’ shoulders. It’s a recipe for interceptions — maybe a defensive rating — and a double-digit win. The Bears are 1-3-1 ATS of their final 5 street video games if that issues. The Patriots don’t lose to unhealthy groups and definitely not at house.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Patriots and the underneath.
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<u>LOOK BUT DON’T TOUCH</u>
FALCONS at BENGALS
1 p.m., Bengals by 6 ½, 47 ½
HANK’S HONEYS: Do you need to stepin entrance of a Falcons prepare that has steamrolled the unfold in all six of their video games this season? Or do you imagine that the Bengals, with 4 straight wins ATS, are returning to their Tremendous Bowl methods? All of it depends upon which offense units the tone. The Falcons are arduous to play in opposition to with Marcus Mariota utilizing a lot RPO and with Cincy struggling to cease the run, that’s a giant subject. Then again, Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, et al., appear to be rounding again into kind and they are going to be up in opposition to a cross protection ranked thirty first out of 32 groups.
CAN’T HELP YOURSELF? Falcons and the over.
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<u>BEST OF THE REST</u>
TEXANS at RAIDERS
4:05 p.m., Raiders by 7, 45 ½
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Raiders and the over.
PACKERS at COMMANDERS
1 p.m., Packers by 5 ½, 41 ½
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Commanders and the over.
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WEEK’S BEST BET: Jets. Receipt please.
LAST WEEK: 5-9 ATS, 7-7 OVER/UNDER
OVERALL: 41-52-1 ATS, 46-47-1 OVER/UNDER
BEST BETS: 3-3
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